As with the national trend, Richmond has enjoyed a decreasing UCR during
the '90's.
As usual, the much larger number of property crimes swamps any changes
in violent crimes. As the figure shows, Richmond's violent crime rate has not
enjoyed the same decrease.
In contrast to Richmond, Bellevue has
suffered an increase in crime in the mid-'90's, primarily in larceny and auto theft:
OFFENSE |
1993 |
1994 |
1995 |
1996 |
1997 |
1998 |
Grand
Total |
AGGR
ASSAULT |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
13 |
ARSON |
0 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
HOMICIDE |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
LARCENY |
27 |
16 |
51 |
27 |
27 |
26 |
174 |
LARCENY
FROM AUTO |
18 |
20 |
28 |
36 |
43 |
21 |
166 |
MOTOR
VEHICLE THEFT |
0 |
3 |
16 |
34 |
27 |
30 |
110 |
NON-RESIDENTIAL
BURGLARY |
7 |
14 |
6 |
15 |
13 |
16 |
71 |
RESIDENTIAL
BURGLARY |
23 |
27 |
18 |
20 |
8 |
14 |
110 |
ROBBERY
AGAINST BUSINESS |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
ROBBERY
AGAINST PERSON |
4 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
14 |
Grand
Total |
81 |
82 |
126 |
138 |
124 |
112 |
663 |
Here are some more recent data showing a
delightful decrease in our neighborhood:
The Good News sounds better if you first recall that
Richmond's UCR crime is about 85% property, 15% violent. In Bellevue it's 96%
property, 4% violent: The dark side of the Good News is that most of the Bellevue UCR crime
is preventable.
Assuming 2600 people in Bellevue, the 1999
number translates to a UCR of about 3, i.e., a third of the Richmond rate
and about the same as the Virginia average. Not nearly good enough for a peaceful,
residential neighborhood.
As troubling as these numbers are, our neighborhood
looks like a kindergarten compared to the two long blocks on Chamberlayne between Laburnum
and Bellevue. Here are the UCR totals for those two blocks, plus the two blocks between
Bellevue Ave. and Westbrook Ave. (i.e., for the four long blocks adjacent to Bellevue),
for the period from January 1993 through December, 1998:
OFFENSE |
38-4300
Chamb |
Bellevue |
AGGR ASSAULT |
66 |
13 |
ARSON |
7 |
3 |
HOMICIDE |
7 |
1 |
LARCENY |
118 |
174 |
LARCENY FROM
AUTO |
54 |
166 |
MOTOR VEHICLE
THEFT |
83 |
110 |
NON-RESIDENTIAL
BURGLARY |
9 |
71 |
RAPE |
10 |
|
RESIDENTIAL
BURGLARY |
132 |
110 |
ROBBERY
AGAINST BUSINESS |
|
1 |
ROBBERY
AGAINST PERSON |
54 |
14 |
Grand
Total |
540 |
663 |
Violent |
25% |
4% |
Yes, folks. They had over almost as much UCR crime in
those four blocks as we had in all of Bellevue (and they had a whole lot more
violent crime) (Follow the link for more about Chamberlayne). We now are trying to get the
police data to see if there is a connection between what's happening there and what's
happening here.
There are troublesome parallels with the year-by-year
changes, too.
Clearly we have generally increasing crime in our
neighborhood and the neighboring stretch of Chamberlayne at a time when overall crime in
Richmond (and Virginia and the United States) is decreasing. Something is wrong
here.